Nvidia Earnings Will Test AI Rally

Nvidia Earnings Ahead

Please click here for an enlarged chart of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA).

Note the following:

This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of NVDA is being used to illustrate the point.

The chart shows that even after the large move up in the stock market after Fed Chair Powell hinted a rate cut is ahead, NVDA stock was not able to enter zone 1 (resistance).

Volume on the chart shows that the move up on Friday was not on heavy volume.  This indicates a lack of conviction ahead of earnings.

The chart shows the trendline has been broken.

RSI on the chart shows NVDA stock is no longer oversold.

Nvidia reports earnings after the regular session close on Wednesday.

Whisper numbers for Nvidia earnings are higher than the consensus numbers.  Whisper numbers are the numbers analysts privately share with their best clients.  Whisper numbers are often different from consensus numbers published by the same analysts for public consumption.  Analysts typically provide whisper numbers only to their best clients, and not the public.

In our analysis, Nvidia earnings will be a test of the AI rally.  

Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) has run up on the news that the U.S. government is taking about a 10% stake.  The momo crowd is oblivious, but in our analysis, this is negative for Intel.  The reason is Intel was previously going to get a free infusion from prior government programs but now Intel is paying for it with about 10% of the company.  This is a massive dilution for existing shareholders.  We have given a signal to ...